Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.030065 0.032813 0.035527 0.038403 0.041360 0.044307 0.047461
2024-12-22 0.023910 0.028303 0.032760 0.037595 0.042667 0.047813 0.053408
2024-12-29 0.020031 0.025514 0.031206 0.037495 0.044194 0.051075 0.058636
2025-01-05 0.016849 0.023084 0.029703 0.037135 0.045154 0.053474 0.062692
2025-01-12 0.014108 0.020873 0.028217 0.036591 0.045732 0.055298 0.065971
2025-01-19 0.011214 0.018252 0.026096 0.035194 0.045246 0.055859 0.067781
2025-01-26 0.010114 0.017602 0.026099 0.036061 0.047149 0.058916 0.072187
2025-02-02 0.008687 0.016448 0.025444 0.036122 0.048103 0.060889 0.075370
2025-02-09 0.006922 0.014732 0.024046 0.035269 0.047983 0.061640 0.077180
2025-02-16 0.005933 0.013916 0.023652 0.035514 0.049043 0.063639 0.080303
2025-02-23 0.004888 0.012931 0.022999 0.035417 0.049683 0.065145 0.082855
2025-03-02 0.003857 0.011860 0.022186 0.035092 0.050029 0.066297 0.084992
2025-03-09 0.003003 0.011052 0.021796 0.035404 0.051271 0.068630 0.088642
2025-03-16 0.001823 0.009560 0.020506 0.034657 0.051336 0.069703 0.090971
2025-03-23 0.001074 0.008571 0.019797 0.034566 0.052125 0.071560 0.094141
2025-03-30 0.000449 0.007511 0.018917 0.034217 0.052579 0.073009 0.096829
2025-04-06 0.000045 0.006437 0.017931 0.033690 0.052785 0.074148 0.099143
2025-04-13 NaN 0.005026 0.016338 0.032335 0.051974 0.074101 0.100106
2025-04-20 NaN 0.004812 0.016492 0.033176 0.053743 0.076963 0.104290
2025-04-27 NaN 0.004245 0.016055 0.033235 0.054560 0.078725 0.107227
2025-05-04 NaN 0.003329 0.014967 0.032408 0.054291 0.079223 0.108730
2025-05-11 NaN 0.002940 0.014707 0.032645 0.055284 0.081151 0.111819
2025-05-18 NaN 0.002452 0.014215 0.032552 0.055860 0.082586 0.114338